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AI application storm eye: change and shuffling coexist, and the CAMBRIAN was transferred to the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index, which caused great concern in the market. Recently, most AI concept stocks sought after by funds in the secondary market are facing the challenge of uncertainty such as low revenue. Is this a bubble or a fetal movement on the eve of industrial change? The reporter interviewed a number of people in the industry. Respondents generally recognized the judgment of "AI is not a bubble". At the same time, they believed that the market, represented by large-scale model technology, was entering a rational period, and turned from the "Hundred Models War" to reflect on how to realize the expansion of technical boundaries and promote the commercialization of AIGC. In this process, represented by the agent, large-scale model, multi-scene and singing will support the unprecedented generate of AI application. However, it is undeniable that under the influx of various participants, the competition is becoming increasingly fierce, which also reflects the sharp increase in the commercialization pressure of some practitioners' AI applications. Looking ahead from the new starting line, the big model track is undergoing a transformation from "atomic bomb" to "tea egg", and the shuffling year may start, and some platforms may fade out of the stage. At the same time, upstream industrial chains such as AI chips will also face mountains with long cycle, high intensity and high cost for a long time. Whether it is technology update or cash flow operation, we must be cautious. (Securities Times)Ukraine plans to hold a contact group meeting to discuss ending the war through diplomatic means. On December 9, local time, Ukrainian Presidential Press Secretary Nichiforov said that Ukraine plans to hold a contact group meeting in December to discuss the common position of ending the war through diplomatic means. Nichiforov said that the list of contact groups is still being worked out. Ukrainian President Zelensky said on the 8th that the members of the Contact Group may include Germany, France, Britain, Italy, Poland, Denmark and other countries.The market generally expects that the central bank will still have the probability of cutting interest rates in 2025, and the market generally expects that the central bank will still have the probability of cutting interest rates in 2025, and the yield of government bonds in the next 10 years will drop to around 1.8%. Therefore, the "rush to run" behavior of institutions is more obvious, and the yield of 10-year government bonds fell below 2%, challenging 1.9%. From the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank will continue to cut interest rates. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. (SSE)

Bonds are almost in a bearish state. Many brokers expect the Bank of China to cut interest rates next year, and the yield of 10-year government bonds may be around 1.8%. According to the Shanghai Stock Exchange, from the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank's interest rate cuts will continue. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. Tan Yiming, a fixed-income analyst at Minsheng Securities, believes that this year's monetary policy framework reform has been promoted, and the 7-day reverse repo rate, as the main policy interest rate, has become the starting point of the interest rate transmission mechanism. It is expected that there will be one or two interest rate cuts in 2025, and the 7-day reverse repo rate will be lowered by about 20 to 40 basis points, and the 10-year government bond yield will be 1.7% to 1.8%.In November, the sales of new energy passenger cars increased by more than 50%. On December 9, the data released by the Association showed that the national new energy passenger car market retailed 1.268 million vehicles in November, a substantial increase of 50.5% year-on-year. From January to November this year, the cumulative retail sales reached 9.594 million vehicles, up 41.2% year-on-year. Cui Dongshu, Secretary-General of the Passenger Car Association, believes that since the fourth quarter, the sales volume of passenger cars has continued to strengthen. With the countdown of this round of car scrapping and old-for-new policies, the auto market is expected to usher in a "tail-lifting market" in December this year. (CSI)The global central bank's big move at the end of the year is surging in the foreign exchange market, and the end of the year is approaching, and the global central bank has entered an intensive interest rate discussion cycle. In the next two weeks, monetary policy meetings of major central banks around the world will follow one after another-this week, many central banks including the European Central Bank, the Bank of Canada, the Reserve Bank of Australia, and the Swiss National Bank will announce interest rate resolutions; Next week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England will also take turns to stir up the market. (SSE)

The achievements of China's international cooperation in desertification control were unveiled at COP16. On the 9th, the China Pavilion of the 16th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (COP16) held a side event with the theme of "Green Technology, Green Future" to share the successful experience of China's international cooperation in desertification control.Analyst: At present, it is not necessary for the central bank to cut interest rates again. Chen Xi, chief analyst of open source securities, believes that it is not necessary for the central bank to cut interest rates again at present, and the bond market is expected to show a volatile market in the future. On the one hand, the central bank has not substantially lowered the policy interest rate. On the other hand, the policy has turned to finance and real estate, and the current economy is already stabilizing and recovering. The central bank will not cut interest rates again in the short term.The cost performance ratio of dividend asset allocation is once again highlighted, and institutions are optimistic about the current layout window period. On December 9, the three major stock indexes in the A-share market fluctuated and closed down, and the petroleum, petrochemical, steel and public utilities sectors with high dividend characteristics were among the top gainers. According to industry insiders, recently, dividend-related ETFs have been allocated more market funds, and the superimposed long-term interest rate has once again broken through the previous shock center. The price/performance ratio of the high dividend sector, which is not prominent in this round of increase, will once again be highlighted. The end of the year to January next year is the allocation window of high dividend assets. It is recommended to actively seize the opportunities in the direction of banks, coal and other industries. (CSI)